rashes of crashes

[Wade]

NOT that I am insinuating that there is anything paranormal about the recent spate of rail crashes but i could not help to see if there was any blogs on any sites addressing this issue. You know the everything happens in threes (or more) type of thing. Like synchronicity and coincidences, it is a subject ( multiple similar events, not crashes) that i like tossing about even though i don't always put any stock in there being a larger mechanism at work other than a law of numbers type thing.
notice my disclaimer

Having said that, because i read the copycat effect by loren coleman and i know he talks of such things on his blog, i tossed in a revelent terms in a google search and got a hit. On Loren's very own site as it were, and then i noticed that date of the posting
Twilight Language: Synchromystic Rail Wrecks?
it seems we were going through another spell of these six years ago. the take home message, you DO NOT want to be on any public rail conveyace during the month of July 2019. Don't say that spookymulder didn't warn you

 

[boomerang]

We seem to see such hints that the universe processes information in ways we in no way understand. Synchronicities are probably the most obvious. Almost as if there is a bug in the Big Algorithm that shows up from time to time.

 

[Jimi H.]

You'd have to create a database over many years to even show that these things are clustered. Hard numbers from across the world. I don't mean the number of known events from TV, more something like this: Railway safety statistics - Statistics Explained

From WIKI, about synchronicity: "Fritz Levi, in his 1952 review in Neue Schweizer Rundschau (New Swiss Observations), critiqued Jung's theory of synchronicity as vague in determinability of synchronistic events .. [and akin to] "magic causality" [which Jung claimed to reject].."

Indeed, you'd need extremely good data to avoid bias or to avoid being accused of believing in Jungian magic, or plain old divinity.

An article from Psychology today puts it this way: "The saying that everything happens for a reason is the modern, New Age version of the old religious saying: “It’s God’s will.” The two sayings have the same problem – the complete lack of evidence that they’re true. Not only is there no good evidence that God exists, we have no way of knowing what it is that he (or she) wanted to happen, other than that it actually did happen."
"Does everything happen for a reason? | Psychology Today"

It's interesting if clusters can be shown, but from there to conclude it's anything beyond chance/objective causes, is a huge step.

So, if it's a real phenomenon, I'd look for other causes first: Are accidents caused by extremely hot weather that makes rails bend? Do newspapers have less to write about during the summer, so they grab any catastrophic international event they can get their hands on, and write about it? Are rails replaced/serviced in cycles, and are worn rails the causes? Has the economic crisis meant that governments are slacking on maintenance, and has a very hot summer showed that that was a mistake?

Whatever, first of all someone has to show that hard data can support the notion that these things happen in clusters. Are there any credible numbers available?

 

[Wade]

it is sn abstract concept to be sure and being that "it" has no formal boundaries and probably never will ,"it "is also very susceptible to being manipulated and molded to fit to whatever any parameters we wish to give it.

like I alluded to in the first post, I Do think that there is an mechanism for personal meaningful coincidences, I make no bones about that. Angelo...I think it was him... one posted a link that suggested in order to ge ta proper perspective on the variables at work, one would just have to consider the near limitless number of events one can experience and the number of people on this planet in that of course SOMEONE will experience a coincidence, while I can appreciate the thought behind that, I cannot appreciate the parameters it suggests one had to consider. I think this scenario is too broadly defined and needs to be brought down to a micro level not a macro level.

I've mentioned a number of times how when I was young, mid-adolescence I guess, I told my mom I could predict the future because of the number of coincidences/synchronicities that I experienced. Obviously I had no idea that a concept like synchronicity even existed. I do accept that as one gets older and one gets more exposed to various elements and retains that information, the human mind is conditioned to put it into a pattern but being that I've never been an all or nothing guy. ..there is room for multiple explanations. .. I don't accept.. at this time. . the reason why I was consistently hit with all these coincidences at such a young age was because the law of numbers was singling me out. As far as the recent spate of crashes, the chaos theory works just fine for me but I am I open to suggestions.

 

[boomerang]

You'd have to create a database over many years to even show that these things are clustered. Hard numbers from across the world. I don't mean the number of known events from TV, more something like this: Railway safety statistics - Statistics Explained

This is certainly true when talking about classes of events in large samples, such as the transportation disasters discussed here. I'm not sure statistics are so easily applied to the matter of personal events involving combinations of factors coming together in ways that seem to defy laws of probability.

I have pulled this story verbatim from the website "Synchrosecrets". But I also recall Vallee having recounted it orally on camera:

“One afternoon in Los Angeles in the winter of 1976, the week he began compiling his notes on various branches of the UFO cult “the Order of Melchizedek” for what became Messengers of Deception, Jacques Vallee stood curbside at Sunset Boulveard and hailed a taxi. He looked downstream at the rush hour traffic, raised his hand towards several oncoming cabs, and one swerved into the curb lane and stopped for him. After a short ride, during which Vallee did not discuss his current research, he paid his fare and accepted a receipt. He stuffed it in his wallet and thought nothing more of it, until two days he noticed it was signed Melchizedek:

So how to evaluate the odds of such? It's as if the laws of probability have been pushed to some kind of absolute barrier in the realm of pure information, like the speed of light in physics. I question whether we yet have the tools to scientifically analyze this kind of thing.