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This is certainly true when talking about classes of events in large samples, such as the transportation disasters discussed here. I'm not sure statistics are so easily applied to the matter of personal events involving combinations of factors coming together in ways that seem to defy laws of probability.

I have pulled this story verbatim from the website "Synchrosecrets". But I also recall Vallee having recounted it orally on camera:

“One afternoon in Los Angeles in the winter of 1976, the week he began compiling his notes on various branches of the UFO cult “the Order of Melchizedek” for what became Messengers of Deception, Jacques Vallee stood curbside at Sunset Boulveard and hailed a taxi. He looked downstream at the rush hour traffic, raised his hand towards several oncoming cabs, and one swerved into the curb lane and stopped for him. After a short ride, during which Vallee did not discuss his current research, he paid his fare and accepted a receipt. He stuffed it in his wallet and thought nothing more of it, until two days he noticed it was signed Melchizedek:

So how to evaluate the odds of such? It's as if the laws of probability have been pushed to some kind of absolute barrier in the realm of pure information, like the speed of light in physics. I question whether we yet have the tools to scientifically analyze this kind of thing.

<blockquote data-quote="boomerang" data-source="post: 166133" data-attributes="member: 3872">This is certainly true when talking about classes of events in large samples, such as the transportation disasters discussed here. I&#039;m not sure statistics are so easily applied to the matter of personal events involving combinations of factors coming together in ways that seem to defy laws of probability.&nbsp;I have pulled this story verbatim from the website &quot;Synchrosecrets&quot;. But I also recall Vallee having recounted it orally on camera:&nbsp;“One afternoon in Los Angeles in the winter of 1976, the week he began compiling his notes on various branches of the UFO cult “the Order of Melchizedek” for what became Messengers of Deception, Jacques Vallee stood curbside at Sunset Boulveard and hailed a taxi. He looked downstream at the rush hour traffic, raised his hand towards several oncoming cabs, and one swerved into the curb lane and stopped for him. After a short ride, during which Vallee did not discuss his current research, he paid his fare and accepted a receipt. He stuffed it in his wallet and thought nothing more of it, until two days he noticed it was signed Melchizedek:&nbsp;So how to evaluate the odds of such? It&#039;s as if the laws of probability have been pushed to some kind of absolute barrier in&nbsp; the realm of pure information, like the speed of light in physics. I question whether we yet have the tools to scientifically analyze this kind of thing.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="boomerang, post: 166133, member: 3872"] This is certainly true when talking about classes of events in large samples, such as the transportation disasters discussed here. I'm not sure statistics are so easily applied to the matter of personal events involving combinations of factors coming together in ways that seem to defy laws of probability. I have pulled this story verbatim from the website "Synchrosecrets". But I also recall Vallee having recounted it orally on camera: “One afternoon in Los Angeles in the winter of 1976, the week he began compiling his notes on various branches of the UFO cult “the Order of Melchizedek” for what became Messengers of Deception, Jacques Vallee stood curbside at Sunset Boulveard and hailed a taxi. He looked downstream at the rush hour traffic, raised his hand towards several oncoming cabs, and one swerved into the curb lane and stopped for him. After a short ride, during which Vallee did not discuss his current research, he paid his fare and accepted a receipt. He stuffed it in his wallet and thought nothing more of it, until two days he noticed it was signed Melchizedek: So how to evaluate the odds of such? It's as if the laws of probability have been pushed to some kind of absolute barrier in the realm of pure information, like the speed of light in physics. I question whether we yet have the tools to scientifically analyze this kind of thing. [/QUOTE]

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