Hi Ron,
Regarding your questions:
1. In my analysis of 120 cases involving UAP and aviation safety issues, the percentage was nearly equal with a third being military, a third civilian and a third commercial. A larger data set might show something different, of course. Its really simply about who reports and where we find the data but we have heard from all varieties of aviation.
2. In scoring cases we look for radar data and multiple witnesses - in aviation cases that involves multiple aircraft and/or ATC witnesses. We have examples of this from all three aspects of aviaiton, private, military and commercial.
3. I don't have a percentage here but we often find that military will not squawk or when flying in groups only one will turn on its transponder. Sometimes this can be a bit eerie. We did a radar analysis of the last minutes of the EgyptAir 990 crash and found 6 a/c that did not have their transponders on in the immediate vicinity of that a/c when it went down. That is not public knowledge and a bit disconcerting.
4. Aside from reporting to the FAA upline and contacting the nearest military aviation hub to followup there is not much that can be done. I am not aware of any examples of punitive measures in this regard.
5. They are correct and I am sure that it really depends on whether the military are training, transporting or "active" and what they are up to.
6. in my analysis of 120 cases the reports showed no specific trend in altitude, size or velocity. Distances ranged from "close enough that I ducked my head to several miles distant. However, I was looking at aviation safety cases that included reported NMACs, dynamic trajectories by the UAP, pacing, etc.. Sizes ranged from softball sized lights to very large UAP. No trends in size though when we look at all cases, not just spheres, the estimate of disc shaped objects is often described at 30ft diameter. Many fighter pilots in older reports claimed that it was about the size of their own aircraft which makes the 30ft diameter estimate again. There are larger discs, and smaller ones. The famous Mexican case, Carlos de los Santos case, involved three small discs that he estimated at two meters in diameter. Same goes for spheres and cylinders. Sizes range from a couple feet to very, very large.
I understand your bias regarding pilots. You are not alone. Airline pilots and cowboys are thought of as being the most trustworthy images in American culture. Many of us who are older were raised to believe that pilots were heroes and good guys. We had a lot of war movies and other media to reinforce that going on as well. Of course, we are all a bit more realistic these days but the bias lingers on.
Also I agree with your perspective in your reply to Eddie....
Regarding your questions:
1. In my analysis of 120 cases involving UAP and aviation safety issues, the percentage was nearly equal with a third being military, a third civilian and a third commercial. A larger data set might show something different, of course. Its really simply about who reports and where we find the data but we have heard from all varieties of aviation.
2. In scoring cases we look for radar data and multiple witnesses - in aviation cases that involves multiple aircraft and/or ATC witnesses. We have examples of this from all three aspects of aviaiton, private, military and commercial.
3. I don't have a percentage here but we often find that military will not squawk or when flying in groups only one will turn on its transponder. Sometimes this can be a bit eerie. We did a radar analysis of the last minutes of the EgyptAir 990 crash and found 6 a/c that did not have their transponders on in the immediate vicinity of that a/c when it went down. That is not public knowledge and a bit disconcerting.
4. Aside from reporting to the FAA upline and contacting the nearest military aviation hub to followup there is not much that can be done. I am not aware of any examples of punitive measures in this regard.
5. They are correct and I am sure that it really depends on whether the military are training, transporting or "active" and what they are up to.
6. in my analysis of 120 cases the reports showed no specific trend in altitude, size or velocity. Distances ranged from "close enough that I ducked my head to several miles distant. However, I was looking at aviation safety cases that included reported NMACs, dynamic trajectories by the UAP, pacing, etc.. Sizes ranged from softball sized lights to very large UAP. No trends in size though when we look at all cases, not just spheres, the estimate of disc shaped objects is often described at 30ft diameter. Many fighter pilots in older reports claimed that it was about the size of their own aircraft which makes the 30ft diameter estimate again. There are larger discs, and smaller ones. The famous Mexican case, Carlos de los Santos case, involved three small discs that he estimated at two meters in diameter. Same goes for spheres and cylinders. Sizes range from a couple feet to very, very large.
I understand your bias regarding pilots. You are not alone. Airline pilots and cowboys are thought of as being the most trustworthy images in American culture. Many of us who are older were raised to believe that pilots were heroes and good guys. We had a lot of war movies and other media to reinforce that going on as well. Of course, we are all a bit more realistic these days but the bias lingers on.
Also I agree with your perspective in your reply to Eddie....
