Hello Paracast, long time listener first time caller. I thought I'd weigh in on this one though.
Reports of an experience, even a large volume of reports, don't on their own make it reasonable to believe the experience is real or even plausible, it's actually a logical fallacy, and in the context of any paranormal phenomenon a very elementary logical fallacy. For instance, I could apply that same value to the notion that Angels must be real because of the sheer number of reports of them appearing at gas stations or scorched by blessed toaster ovens on to breakfast items. Or that the sheer number of survey answers that Sherlock Holmes was a real detective means that he wasn't a fictional character, or that Canadians live in igloos (do they?) because of the number of people who for whatever reason report to believe that. A paranormal phenomenon isn't in the same category of "I'm watching T.V" because --not to put too fine a point on it-- you can invite me over to verify the existence of your T.V. You can sit in front of it and demonstrate to me your watching it. I can go to my parlor and see a TV for myself (or I could if I owned one) and surmise that it's reasonable that you have a T.V. too. I can have an engineer explain to me the technology of a T.V. and then go to a factory where T.V.s are made and see it happen in real time. What you can't do is produce an alien space craft or any of the side-dishes.
This article reminds me a little of what I'm trying to say but lack the words to do so.
http://adamkemp.newsvine.com/_news/...ature-of-science-why-gravity-is-just-a-theory
"Science is based on inductive reasoning, which is a method of drawing generalized conclusions based on finite observations. Inductive reasoning can be used to disprove a theory, but it cannot be used to prove one. for example, take the following observation:
- The grass outside my window is green.
Using inductive reasoning I can conclude:
This conclusion is valid in inductive reasoning so long as all observations support it. As soon as an observation contradicts the conclusion, the conclusion is proved false. However, the only way to prove theory is
true would be to observe
all grass. This limitation is due to the fact that a conclusion is being drawn from a subset of possible observations.
Since science, by its very nature, attempts to draw conclusions from observations of the natural world inductive reasoning is necessary. In science, though, it is literally
impossible to make every possible observation to prove a rule. Therefore, it is also impossible to prove any theory in science. Every conclusion science has ever made is an unproved theory, including gravity.
Still not convinced? Consider the theory itself (in a Newtonian sense for simplicity): all mass is attracted to all other mass in a manner which fits a specific equation (F = G*m1*m2/d^2).
How would we test this? We can try dropping objects with various masses, measuring their acceleration, and then use the above equation (along with Earth's mass for the second object) to verify. If the math works out then the theory is supported. Up until Einstein (maybe even up until now, but I'm not sure) this always worked. However, the only way to
prove that the equation is right would be to test
every object in the Universe against
every other object in the Universe. This is (essentially) an infinite number of observations, which can't be done.
Some might argue that this only applies to the equation itself, but not the fact that gravity occurs. They would say "I can prove gravity by dropping something". However, they are wrong. The only thing you can prove by dropping something is that gravity worked for
that test. The only thing they're changing in their test versus the test I described above is loosening the requirements for success: instead of requiring that the equation fit the observation, they are checking that the acceleration is positive (F > 0). The reasoning being used to prove the theory hasn't changed. It's still inductive, and you would still have to make an essentially infinite number of observations in order to prove that gravity works in that way
every time."
The article isn't long and adds thought to the discussion. It's not like I don't like science. I'm programmed like most people to hand clap on new findings, studies, discoveries. But what brought science to the "scene" so to speak? In many cases, witnesses. Witnesses who proclaimed an observation, underwent a physical change, endured a mental alteration, etc. And in having enough witnesses, science, which is actually composed by humans, proceeded to study, collect data, compare data, and at which point proposed theories. But there are still many things in our society that we take for granted, know exists, yet cannot be proven concretely. Why did society therefor except these conclusions? I'm thinking an accumulation of things, data, time to accept the idea, and this per-programmed notion that science leads the way. Mostly science does, so it's not a knock I'm expressing but instead a reasonable challenge that the very thing we consider most sacred might not always be capable of helping us out and as humans we're required to use our other abilities to finish the job.
Call what I have an "intuitive" need to not discount the witness. If witnesses regularly reported flying dragons, Harry Potter buzzing by on a broom stick or giant mice running down the street, essential a wide swathe of bizarre reports, I'd give credence to the idea that we're not as stable as I thought. But instead researchers have been able to pinpoint what's being seen into a definable set of similar shapes, around the world. Disk, cigar, triangle, and orb. Probably leaving a few out, but I'm sure everyone's aware of them. Historically, in just my reading on the U.S it's been laughed right out the door. I can only conclude, based off everything I've read, that the subject is just too damn uncomfortable for our society just yet to really realize how incredible it all is.