Hey folks, this is my first post! First off, I enjoyed the interview with Eric. It's exciting and stimulating to hear new perspectives on these topics. He's been mentioned on the show before, but I'd like to propose Jeffrey Kripal as a guest. Coming from the field of religious studies (not to be confused with theology), Kripal has a fresh and unique perspective on paranormal phenomena. Definitely not a nuts-and-bolts kind of guy, so he's certain to rock a few boats, but definitely a voice worth including in the dialogue. His books
Authors of the Impossible and
Mutants and Mystics are worth a read.
Anyways, the topic of synchronicity was raised in this episode. Here's the problem I have, and which I'm hoping someone can address. How do we know that alleged synchronistic events are anything but chance occurrence? In all the discussion of synchronicity that I've encountered, I have yet to hear anyone offer a persuasive argument against that possibility. Don't get me wrong, I can appreciate how co-occurrences of certain events can have a profound emotional impact on the parties involved, but that alone says nothing about the actual probability of the events occurring simultaneously, only something about the psychology of us humans. In other words, our emotional response proves nothing about the actual probability of the events under consideration.
When we experience a series of meaningful coincidences, our instinctive reaction is to think, "Wow, what is the probability of these events happening together?" We then conclude that the probability is very low, as in the Melchizedek example mentioned in this episode, and that leads us to suspect something non-random is at work behind the scenes. But, we're asking the wrong question. Yes, the probability of those
specific events occurring together might be very low. But, the probability of
some meaningful events occurring together is probably actually quite high across a person's lifetime. There are many, many ways that events can come together and seem meaningful. So, if we're wondering about the likelihood of something that we just experienced, we should be asking ourselves how likely it was that
something meaningful like that could happen, but not necessarily in
that particular way. The answer, I believe, is: quite likely.
I believe even Jung admitted that we can't be sure if the events underlying a supposed synchronicity are actually unlikely. If I recall, he sort of dithered on that issue, and ended up merely asserting that they
seem unlikely. Since we can't really know how likely the events actually are, and furthermore we expect synchronistic experiences to happen occasionally from sheer chance alone, why don't we just drop the issue and assume there's nothing peculiar going on? It's just our crappy sense of probability that makes it seem otherwise.
Thoughts?