That's fair comment to the extent that we don't know the truth about the alien abduction part of the story. But that is also the case with virtually all sightings and claims of alien contact. We're left to make our own leaps of faith. I reserved mine based on the circumstantial evidence that shed doubt. I assume you've weighed the same pros and cons, so it makes me wonder where my reasoning for doubting is flawed. Given the same information, what is it that makes one person believe and another person not believe? Skeptics would argue that the human capacity for gullibility is unsurpassed, but I don't think it's that simple. I don't have an answer either.
For what its worth i dont consider your reasoning is flawed
Your guess is
as good as mine as the adage goes
You've weighed up the evidence and drawn a conclusion that you are comfortable with and thats fine
For me it was the fact that the crew got arrested on suspicion of murder and locked up. Putting myself in that situation i imagine that had this been a prank/hoax of some sort that would have been a moment when i would have said this joke has backfired and its not funny anymore.
But they stuck with their version of events regardless, passing lie detector tests to boot.
The sheer bulk of corroborating testimony, tested by lie detectors is why i fall on the side of it being a real event.
As for the detector test taken during what is a game show.........
We have to take their word for it he failed the test, The show is about entertainment and this case was an easy one for them to discredit and not pay up on. Given the question was alien abduction saving the prize money by declaring him a liar was unlikely to be called as BS by the audience.
He was an easy target, the show doesnt lose any credibility by saying he wasnt abducted by aliens, thats what most people would expect.
It would be like me failing the same test after claiming i saw santa go down a neigbours chimney, the audience wouldnt bat an eye over that test coming back as deceptive.
When i weigh up the lie detectors tests passed by the crew, against one taken on a game show.......... the balance of probability still favours the crews test results